Projected Death Toll from “Big One” Unacceptable, Says Civil Defense Chief

By: Victor Baldemor Ruiz

In a recent statement, Undersecretary Ariel Nepomuceno, administrator of the Office of Civil Defense (OCD), highlighted the alarming projection of 30,000 to 50,000 potential fatalities in the event of the anticipated “Big One” earthquake. He emphasized that such a tragic outcome is unacceptable.

“It is unbearable to contemplate tens of thousands of fatalities. We are not adequately prepared for this scenario,” Nepomuceno remarked during the Asia-Pacific Ministerial Conference on Disaster Risk Reduction.


He asserted that true readiness for the “Big One,” which is feared to strike Metro Manila, can only be achieved when the potential casualty figures are reduced to a bare minimum. “We must all work together to address this urgent concern,” he urged.

Nepomuceno called upon all stakeholders to intensify their efforts, emphasizing the need for a multifaceted approach that includes engineering solutions, rigorous enforcement of building regulations, and a commitment to discipline among the populace. “We need robust structures for homes, buildings, bridges, schools, hospitals, and other critical infrastructure. It is essential for everyone to comply with the Structural Code of the Philippines and adhere to building permit requirements,” he stated.

Recognizing the Philippines as one of the most disaster-prone countries globally, he underscored the importance of prioritizing disaster preparedness. “This is a shared responsibility. We urge everyone, especially the media, to raise awareness about the escalating risks associated with disasters. It is vital that the public is informed about available technologies that can aid in their preparation for, and response to, calamities,” Nepomuceno added.



He cited tools like Hazard Hunter, a publicly available platform that provides information on the proximity of homes to potential earthquake and tsunami hazards.

Nepomuceno noted that President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. has mandated the intensification of disaster preparedness efforts utilizing science-based solutions. However, he emphasized that individual responsibility is paramount.


“It is our job to assist you, but ultimately, the responsibility for your safety lies with you. The government may not always be by your side, so it is crucial that you are equipped with the necessary knowledge and technology to take appropriate action. Preparedness is key,” Nepomuceno concluded.



Tags: Office of Civil Defense (OCD)

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